We are half way through winter and while the beginning has been relativity mild, the second half is setting up to be colder, with a lot more snow. Many forecasters, including myself, expected higher snow totals at this point, but storms have been travelling nearly 100 miles further northwest than last year. That trend put us on the warm side of storms, which gave us rain instead of snow. Through January, we were running below average on snow. Officially at DTX there had been 12.2 inches of snow, that’s compared to the normal average of 20.2 through the end of January. Temperatures were also above average during December and most of January but changes are coming this month. We are headed into a colder weather pattern, so February is setting up to be like last year’s, where we had more than 30 inches of snow. These factors are pointing to the groundhog seeing his shadow this year, thus paving the way for six more weeks of winter. February 2 is Groundhog Day and can be referenced in America as far back as February 1841. This day was first talked about in European weather folklore, but instead of a groundhog, the animal was a badger or a bear. The largest celebration is held in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, where crowds as large as 40,000have gathered to celebrate the holiday since at least 1886. Whether you believe the groundhog or not, signs are pointing to at least six more weeks of winter. The cold snaps will last longer than a day or two and we will have a more active snow track until well into March and the early part of April. So for the next 4-6 weeks expect more cold and snow than we’ve had so far this winter.