A fast and active weather pattern across the northern part of the country will bring a series of clipper systems through the Capital Region this weekend. Behind each system, a small window of lake effect snow will develop across portions of central New York and a reinforcing shot of cold air will be ushered in.
The first clipper system will impact the region this evening as the main area of low pressure passes well north into Canada, but drags a cold front through the Capital Region after 8 PM. A few brief bursts of rain and snow showers or flurries could accompany this frontal passage in Albany, with only a light coating to half inch of snow expected, especially north and west of town.
Behind the front, it will become a bit windy and lake effect snow will develop across northern Herkimer and Hamilton counties in a west-southwesterly flow. There is a brief window of opportunity where up to 7 inches of snow may fall from Old Forge on northward before high pressure ridges back into the region on Sunday.
This high pressure will control our weather briefly on Sunday with sunny skies developing and temperatures around 40 degrees, before another more potent clipper system approaches by late in the day. A healthy band of snow squalls may accompany the front associated with this system as it tracks across central New York on Sunday evening, reaching the Capital Region around 9-10 PM. This band of snow could put down a quick inch of snow across most of the region as the dynamics with the front are rather potent.
Following this clipper system, another brief bout of lake effect snow is possible into early Monday as another reinforcing shot of cold advection is ushered into the region, but this time the lake effect band will be oriented down the western and central Mohawk Valley, into the southwestern Adirondacks, northern Catskills, and perhaps even portions of the Capital Region. A quick 1 to 3 inches of snow could fall just to the west of Albany as the band swings through.
High pressure will then briefly build into the region again on Monday, which is expected to shut down the lake effect response. A warm front will then quickly approach from the west on Monday evening and be accompanied by a band of light snow. Typically, models struggle with the warm front and overrunning events and a period of light snow into Tuesday morning could bring some minor accumulations before warmer air moves into the region on Tuesday afternoon with above average temperatures continuing into mid-week.
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